In this post I present the basics of macroeconomic cycles. I explain the main definitions and present the main streams of academic thinking about economic cycles. As you possibly know economic cycles constitute the possibly most important determinant of business life of temporary societies. They also are the very clue of our Smart Investing Approach.…
Greetings from the Netherlands dear Smart Investors! I strongly recommend visiting this beautiful flat-like-a-table country to anyone who likes active holidays. Biking routes are plenty everywhere and the Dutch plains are so easy for the kids to bike! You really feel save eveywhere you go with your bike, as bikers have top priority here :).…
Last week was pretty interesting actually, even though we’re in the middle of the summer season. There has been little macro data, hence the market concentrated more on stock-specific situations. Let’s take a look: Last week -> Global markets rallied on Monday to start the week, boosted, amongst others, by the Chinese government telling people…
In the Deep Dive into SIA series of articles I write in-depth analysis of the Smart Investing Approach (SIA). So far we have covered the following issues: Why should excess debt be avoided in picking stocks – Deep Dive into SIA (1) Are higher dividends better than higher growth? – Deep dive into SIA (2)…
It was a shorter week last week due to a day off on Friday to celebrate the Independence Day in the USA. Here’s what was up in short: Last week -> The markets last week were slowly getting used to the rising virus cases and the marginal negtive effect of such news on the equity…
Here comes the June rebalance of the SIA-Style Pension Portfolio (PP). The rebalance PP had an appx. 10% equity allocation as of end of May 2020, which is the middle of the Contraction-eligible range for a SIA-style portfolio. As I have mentioned in a more detailed description of the current state of markets in my…
Today I am rebalancing both of the SIA-style Portfolios, as another month has passed. Let me start with the Global Leaders Portfolio (GLP) here. So, since the Inception (28th Jan 2020) the GLP has done a great job of preserving the capital during the Covid-19 extreme downturn (max monthly drawdown -1,5% vs. -14% for SP500…
Hey hey 🙂 Summer is here finally. For most of you it’s time to take your time off and rest after hard work for most of the year. But markets never sleep. I remember very well both August 2011 and 2015, when Summer became hell for most of people, as sudden developments took most off…
Smart Investors, it’s time to dig deeper into Smart Investing Approach (SIA) again! Today I analyse in details on why the portfolio of equities in the SIA-style Global Leaders Portfolio (GLP) looks as it does and why these certain equities and not other ones have found their place in the GLP at inception (and are…
Hi Smart Investors! I hope you’re doing all right. It’s been more of a quiet week really, but here’s what’s up: Last week -> The market managed to reign in the recent burst of downside volatility from Thursday the week before and from a technical perspective it defended the 200 moving average support level on…