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Category Archives: Macro

GAS WEEKLY

GAS Weekly 3-7.08.2020

Investing, Macro, News&TrendsBy Pawel Cylkowski8 August 2020Leave a comment

SP500 is now 1.2% away from making an all time high. If (or when) that happens, it will be the 2nd time in history after 1983 that the wide market makes a new all time high during a recession (I wrote about the reasons of such equity markets behaviour here as I rebalanced the GLP…

GAS WEEKLY

GAS Weekly 27-31.07.2020

Investing, Macro, News&TrendsBy Pawel Cylkowski1 August 2020Leave a comment

Quite a bit of action on the markets in the middle of the summer season. We’re almost half way through the reporting season. As I wrote here the downbeat expectations make the 2Q20 positive aggregate earnings surprises quite impressive. A lot is going on in some of the commodities as well as the monetary and…

Word Cloud "Economic Cycle"

The Theory of Economic Cycles – the Basics

Investing, MacroBy Pawel Cylkowski28 July 2020Leave a comment

In this post I present the basics of macroeconomic cycles. I explain the main definitions and present the main streams of academic thinking about economic cycles. As you possibly know economic cycles constitute the possibly most important determinant of business life of temporary societies. They also are the very clue of our Smart Investing Approach.…

GAS WEEKLY

GAS Weekly 13-17.07.2020

Investing, Macro, News&TrendsBy Pawel Cylkowski18 July 2020Leave a comment

Greetings from the Netherlands dear Smart Investors! I strongly recommend visiting this beautiful flat-like-a-table country to anyone who likes active holidays. Biking routes are plenty everywhere and the Dutch plains are so easy for the kids to bike! You really feel save eveywhere you go with your bike, as bikers have top priority here :).…

GAS WEEKLY

GAS Weekly 6-10.07.2020

Investing, Macro, News&TrendsBy Pawel Cylkowski12 July 2020Leave a comment

Last week was pretty interesting actually, even though we’re in the middle of the summer season. There has been little macro data, hence the market concentrated more on stock-specific situations. Let’s take a look: Last week -> Global markets rallied on Monday to start the week, boosted, amongst others, by the Chinese government telling people…

Bonds and Gold

Bonds and Gold – the Anchors – Deep Dive into SIA (4)

Investing, Macro, PortfoliosBy Pawel Cylkowski9 July 2020Leave a comment

In the Deep Dive into SIA series of articles I write in-depth analysis of the Smart Investing Approach (SIA). So far we have covered the following issues: Why should excess debt be avoided in picking stocks – Deep Dive into SIA (1) Are higher dividends better than higher growth? – Deep dive into SIA (2)…

GAS WEEKLY

GAS Weekly 29.06-3.07.2020

Investing, Macro, News&TrendsBy Pawel Cylkowski3 July 2020Leave a comment

It was a shorter week last week due to a day off on Friday to celebrate the Independence Day in the USA. Here’s what was up in short: Last week -> The markets last week were slowly getting used to the rising virus cases and the marginal negtive effect of such news on the equity…

GAS WEEKLY

GAS Weekly 22-26.06.2020

Investing, Macro, News&TrendsBy Pawel Cylkowski27 June 2020Leave a comment

Hey hey πŸ™‚ Summer is here finally. For most of you it’s time to take your time off and rest after hard work for most of the year. But markets never sleep. I remember very well both August 2011 and 2015, when Summer became hell for most of people, as sudden developments took most off…

GAS WEEKLY

GAS Weekly 15-19.06.2020

Investing, Macro, News&TrendsBy Pawel Cylkowski20 June 2020Leave a comment

Hi Smart Investors! I hope you’re doing all right. It’s been more of a quiet week really, but here’s what’s up: Last week -> The market managed to reign in the recent burst of downside volatility from Thursday the week before and from a technical perspective it defended the 200 moving average support level on…

GAS WEEKLY

GAS Weekly 8-12.06.2020

Investing, Macro, News&TrendsBy Pawel Cylkowski14 June 2020Leave a comment

Hello everyone! Here’s what moved the markets this week in short. Last week Equity markets stories:->Β On Monday the US National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) officially named February 2020 the last cycle’s peak and announced that the US economy is in recession (4 month under way now).-> Paradoxically on the very same day S&P500 turned…

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