𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙚𝙦𝙪𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨 𝙘𝙖𝙢𝙚 𝙗𝙖𝙘𝙠 𝙧𝙤𝙖𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙧 𝙡𝙖𝙨𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙚𝙠, 𝙖𝙨 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙢𝙖𝙧𝙠𝙚𝙩 𝙞𝙨 𝙣𝙤𝙬 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙞𝙜𝙣𝙤𝙧𝙖𝙣𝙩 𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙝 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙧 𝙮𝙞𝙚𝙡𝙙𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙨𝙚𝙚𝙢𝙨 𝙩𝙤 𝙗𝙚 𝙩𝙖𝙠𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙞𝙩 𝙖𝙨 𝙖 𝙣𝙚𝙬 𝙣𝙤𝙧𝙢𝙖𝙡 𝙙𝙪𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝𝙚𝙧 𝙜𝙧𝙤𝙬𝙩𝙝 𝙥𝙧𝙤𝙨𝙥𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙨. 𝙃𝙞-𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝 𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙘𝙠𝙨 𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙡𝙡 𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙧𝙥𝙚𝙧𝙛𝙤𝙧𝙢. The $SPX500 and the $DJ30 managed even to make new all-time highs with the latter beeing the absolute…
We’re almost 75% through the earnings season in US now. The positive surprise momentum from 3Q20 continues this quarter again as the numbers roll out. So far the avg. sales beat is 3,5% and earnings beat is a massive 19%. 👍👍🤗 𝙇𝙚𝙖𝙙𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙨𝙪𝙧𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙨𝙚 𝙨𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙨: 📈 Consumer Services – the sector clearly benefits the revival trade…
In one of its latest reports $MS (Morgan Stanley) has published its projections as to the expected trajectory of the US economy post Covid-19. The GDP growth forecasts are as follows: 2021: +6,5% YoY 2022: +5% YoY. This is yet another bank that expects a relatively quick recovery ahead this time around. It is also…
We’re living in unprecedented times indeed. Take a look: On the photo above you can find thre graphs aligned together for comparison reasons (courtesy of “sentimentader” from Twitter): 1. 𝗣𝗲𝗻𝗻𝘆 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘂𝗺𝗲𝘀 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗲𝗻 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟬-𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗱 vs. their long-term average 2. Total 𝗼𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘂𝗺𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀 𝘂𝗽 𝟮𝘅 vs. long-term average 3. $SPY 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘂𝗺𝗲, after an initial…
Here’s a quick monthly update on my portfolio: 👉 January 2021 was a corrective month for the GlobalLeadersPortfolio (GLP). The portfolio lost 2,29%. Main reason for the worse performance was the $TLT , which was down 3,1% on month due to a sell-off in long-term Treasuries (10Y yield up from 80bpsish to 100-110bps on month).…
Dear Follower&Copiers, Big things are coming ahead of us. The Global Leaders Portfolio (GLP) is now being slowly prepared for the start of a new cycle phase starting from Jan 2021. The portfolio allocations change will be a process that in my view might last between 3 to 6 months. Why a process? Because of…
A few short thoughts out of the commodity space into the start of 2021: 👉 Technicals: the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) is just breaking out upwards from a 10y+ faling formation (wedge). PLS SEE TITLE PICT. What does it tell us and what investment picture does this paint for next years? Let’s try answer is…
2020 was the inception year for GLP. We’re here at eToro for a month now with the GLP in its final form. Untill December the portfolio was run on www.GlobalAlphaSearch.com The portfolio’s inception took place on the 28th Jan 2020. Just days before the end of a 10-year bull run and what then appeared to…
Today we continue our journey through the tough matter of portfolio management. I describe and explain what is called risk on ex-ante (probabilistic) terms and describe some of its measures. We have covered the Basics in the preceeding two posts here and here. Those of you who have not yet had a chance to go…
In this post I shortly describe the November rebalancing of the SIA-style Pension Portfolio (PP). For a detailed review of the most important market developments for November 2020 please refer to my Global Leaders Portfolio (GLP) rebalancing here. The rebalance The usual monthly injection of $1k was used to purchase GLD. SPY and EEM holdings were…
