𝗪𝗲 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗮 𝗻𝗲𝘄 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀-𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗴𝗺

Over the last decade the correlation between inflation (measured by CPI YoY change) and the $SPX500 returns (also YoY) was clearly positive and pretty stong. Higher moderate inflation (below 3%) usually meant higher GDP growth, higher EPS growth for US corporations and generally healthy economic conditions. This naturally impacted stocks returns. Lower inflation (perios of…

𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗻 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝘂𝘆 𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝗴𝗮𝗶𝗻?

Many investors scratch their heads these days as to whether the current market circumstances we’re facing constitute a good buying opportunity for stocks. In this short article I am trying to assess this question from three different perspectives: macro, micro and technical. The macro perspective This point of view is possibly the biggest worry for…