Many (and more every day) market pundits are raising their voices over “an imminent recession due. Given the recent stock market plunge of 20-30% top to bottom dependent on the index taken into consideration, it seems justified to be asking this question indeed. It comes even more out loud, if one takes a look at…
We had a hell of a day yesterday with GlobalAlphaS portfolio up 5.04%. Main reasons for the performanace: 👉 Long equity hedges netted out in Feb/strat March 👉 Portfolio positioned to gain on the expected (and now materializing) rebound off the correction’s lows as situation around Ukrain descalates and 1st Fed rate hike is behind…
Many investors scratch their heads these days as to whether the current market circumstances we’re facing constitute a good buying opportunity for stocks. In this short article I am trying to assess this question from three different perspectives: macro, micro and technical. The macro perspective This point of view is possibly the biggest worry for…
Below you can see Wells Fargo’s latest Fed balance sheet size projections. Recently the Fed has: 👉 announced tapering (Autumn) 👉 begun tapering (Dec 2021) 👉 announced that they plan to speed up tapering vs. what they previously planned (from USD15bn/month to USD30bn/month) (announced after Dec FOMC meeting) 👉 announced that right after reaching net…
Attached you will find a long term Bloomberg graph showing a very important equities characteristic that usually has significant impact on their overall returns in the future – the Real Earnings Yield. This graph shows aggregate data for the $SPX500. What is Earnings Yield (EY)? 🤔 EY is calculated by dividing a stock’s EPS by…
Dear Copiers&Followers, Below you will find a very interesting article about how the Hedge Funds industry has performed so far this year. Here are the basic conclusions from my side: ◼ HFs still struggle to make a competitive race with ETFs and actively managed mutual funds. ◼ No single HF strategy has outperformed the $SPX500…
There’s been and awful lot of new issues arising in the makrets lately, even though from the outside it looks quietish, becuse there’s no volatiliy on aggregate basis. I think it’s important to have a list of current major issues so as to be constantly monitoring of which one of them could be the trigger…
Disclaimers: None of the ideas, views and thoughts presented here shall ever be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell stocks,bonds,FX,commodities or any other financial instruments as stated in REGULATION (EU) No 596/2014 OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive…
Wondering when the next correction is really due? Want to prepare for it properly? Here’s my answer: Stay Calm, Watch the Fed and read what they do… Please watch this short video I have prepared for you explaining in details the very close relation between the Fed Assets and the equity markets dynamics. Happy watching!…
𝗘𝗾𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸. 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝗱𝗶𝗱 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗹𝗼𝘀𝗲 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝘄𝗮𝘀 𝗳𝗲𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲 𝗱𝗶𝘀𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱. 𝗢𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘄𝗲 𝗵𝗮𝗱 𝗮 𝗳𝗲𝘄 𝗯𝗶𝗴 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗵𝗼𝗹𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘄𝗲𝗹𝗹, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘄𝗲 𝘀𝗮𝘄 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗻𝘂𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝗼𝗳 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗵𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝟱𝟮-𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘀 𝗲𝘅𝗰𝗲𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗻𝘂𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝗵𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝘀 𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝗳 𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝗿𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲,…
